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  • 5. Discussion Framework & Strategic Roadmap

    Pilot Programs, Regulatory Engagement, and Success Metrics

    Hypothetical Framework — Prepared by Adservio Innovation Lab Olivier Vitrac (former Research Director, Université Paris-Saclay) For internal discussion — November 2025


    Disclaimer

    This memo synthesizes findings from Memos 1–4 into a strategic action plan for Vivendi. It includes discussion questions for the CTO meeting, concrete pilot program proposals, regulatory engagement strategies, and measurable success criteria. All recommendations are exploratory and assume validation through stakeholder consultation.


    5.1 Meeting Objectives and Framing

    5.1.1 Core Hypothesis (Recap)

    AI models act as transformative intermediaries that decouple content from rights, causing:

    Result: SACEM's detection rate degrades, leading to revenue leakage for Vivendi (UMG composition royalties, Canal+ video rights, etc.)

    5.1.2 Strategic Question for CTO

    Given that traditional rights detection is increasingly ineffective, what organizational and technical measures should Vivendi prioritize to ensure IP remains monetizable and traceable in the AI era?

    5.1.3 Desired Outcomes from Meeting

    1. Validate problem scope: Does Vivendi observe declining detection rates or royalty discrepancies?

    2. Assess appetite for pilots: Is Vivendi willing to invest €1–5M in next-gen traceability experiments?

    3. Identify partners: Can Vivendi convene SACEM, platforms (YouTube, TikTok), and other majors (Sony, Warner)?

    4. Align on regulatory strategy: Will Vivendi champion EU AI Act amendments or industry standards?


    5.2 Discussion Framework: Key Questions for CTO

    5.2.1 Problem Validation

    TopicQuestionWhy It Matters
    Revenue impactHas UMG/UMPG noticed declining royalty rates per stream over 2023–2025?Quantifies urgency
    Detection gapsWhat % of SACEM-registered works are undetected on TikTok vs. Spotify?Identifies highest-risk platforms
    AI remix prevalenceHow many copyright claims involve pitch-shifted or AI-remixed content?Measures threat scale
    Internal dataDoes Vivendi have telemetry on Content ID match confidence for UMG catalog?Enables data-driven pilot design

    5.2.2 Technical Capabilities

    TopicQuestionWhy It Matters
    Current detectionWhich fingerprinting vendors does UMG use (beyond YouTube Content ID)?Identifies integration points
    Watermarking readinessDoes UMG's mastering pipeline support embedding (e.g., via iZotope, Nugen)?Determines watermark pilot feasibility
    Blockchain experienceHas Vivendi explored distributed ledger for any IP use case (gaming, video)?Assesses technical maturity
    SACEM collaborationDoes Vivendi have influence over SACEM's technology roadmap?Determines advocacy leverage

    5.2.3 Strategic Priorities

    TopicQuestionWhy It Matters
    Investment appetiteIs Vivendi willing to fund pilot programs (~€1M) without immediate ROI?Gates next steps
    Competitive positioningWould Vivendi lead industry consortium, or prefer to follow Sony/Warner?Shapes governance model
    Regulatory engagementDoes Vivendi have relationships with EU policymakers (DG CNECT, DG GROW)?Enables AI Act advocacy
    Cross-subsidiary coordinationCan UMG, Canal+, Vivendi Gaming align on shared traceability infrastructure?Maximizes leverage, reduces cost

    5.2.4 Risk Tolerance

    TopicQuestionWhy It Matters
    Platform relationsWould mandating watermark detection strain relationships with YouTube, TikTok?Assesses political risk
    Artist perceptionHow would artists/labels react to embedded watermarks (privacy concerns)?Manages PR risk
    Failure scenariosIf pilot shows watermarks are defeated by new AI tools, what's Plan B?Ensures adaptive strategy

    5.3 Proposed Pilot Programs

    5.3.1 Pilot A: Watermarking on New Releases (2025–2026)

    Objective: Validate that embedded watermarks survive AI remixes and improve detection rates

    Scope:

    Implementation Steps:

    1. Q1 2026: Integrate watermarking into mastering workflow (3 pilot studios)

    2. Q2 2026: Embed watermarks in 100 tracks; distribute to platforms

    3. Q3 2026: Monitor detection rates (watermark vs. fingerprint-only)

    4. Q4 2026: Analyze results; decide on full rollout

    Success Metrics:

    MetricBaseline (fingerprint-only)Target (watermark + fingerprint)
    Detection rate (original uploads)90%95%
    Detection rate (pitch-shifted ±3 semitones)20%70%
    Detection rate (AI remixes on TikTok)10%50%
    False positive rate<1%<2%

    Budget:

    Decision Point: If detection rate improves by <20%, abort; if >30%, scale to full catalog

    Yes

    No

    Phase 1: Technology Selection
    (Q1 2026)

    Phase 2: Studio Integration
    (Q2 2026)

    Phase 3: Limited Release
    (Q3 2026 – 100 tracks)

    Phase 4: Monitoring
    (Q3-Q4 2026)

    Evaluation:
    Detection rate
    improvement >30%?

    Scale to Full Catalog
    (2027)

    Pivot to Phase-Domain
    or Blockchain-Only


    5.3.2 Pilot B: Blockchain Registry for High-Value Works (2026)

    Objective: Establish tamper-proof provenance for UMG's premium catalog

    Scope:

    Implementation Steps:

    1. Q1 2026: Design data schema (hash structure, metadata) + governance model

    2. Q2 2026: Deploy blockchain nodes (4 validators: Vivendi, Sony, Warner, SACEM)

    3. Q3 2026: Anchor hashes for 10k tracks

    4. Q4 2026: Pilot dispute resolution (retroactive proof-of-registration)

    Success Metrics:

    MetricTarget
    Transaction throughput>1,000 registrations/hour
    Hash verification latency<500 ms
    Dispute resolution time<7 days (vs. 60 days traditional)
    Cost per registration<€0.001

    Budget:

    Governance Model:

    register

    query

    verify

    Vivendi-SACEM-Sony-Warner
    Consortium

    Governance Committee
    (1 vote per member)

    Technical Committee
    (defines data standards)

    Legal Committee
    (arbitrates disputes)

    Blockchain Validators
    (4 nodes)

    Distributed Ledger
    (registration hashes)

    Rights Holders

    Platforms

    Independent Auditors


    5.3.3 Pilot C: AI Training Dataset Transparency (2026–2027)

    Objective: Prove that generative AI models used UMG catalog without license; establish precedent for training royalties

    Scope:

    Implementation Steps:

    1. Q2 2026: Conduct adversarial audit (generate 10k samples, test for similarity to UMG catalog)

    2. Q3 2026: Publish findings (e.g., "X% of outputs match UMG works")

    3. Q4 2026: Engage AI companies for voluntary disclosure + licensing

    4. Q1 2027: If unsuccessful, submit findings to EU policymakers (support AI Act amendment)

    Success Metrics:

    MetricTarget
    Similarity detection rate>10% of outputs match UMG catalog (fingerprint or melody)
    Licensing agreements secured≥1 major AI platform
    Policy impactAI Act amendment proposed by Q4 2027

    Budget:

    Regulatory Pathway:

    success

    failure

    Adversarial Audit
    (Q2 2026)

    Public Report
    (Q3 2026)

    Engage AI Companies
    (Q4 2026)

    Licensing Agreement
    (training royalties)

    EU Policy Advocacy
    (Q1 2027)

    AI Act Amendment
    (training data transparency)

    Regulatory Mandate
    (all models disclose datasets)


    5.4 Regulatory Engagement Strategy

    5.4.1 Target Regulations

    RegulationCurrent StateDesired OutcomeVivendi Role
    EU AI ActMusic gen not high-riskClassify as "high-risk to IP" → mandate dataset transparencyLead industry coalition
    EU Copyright Directive (Art. 17)Requires "best efforts" detectionDefine technical standards (watermarking, phase-domain)Propose ISO/IEC standard
    DSA (Digital Services Act)Platform liability for illegal contentExtend to "unlicensed AI-generated content"Submit policy brief
    SACEM Mandate (French law)Declarative + automatedRequire platforms to integrate enhanced detectionDirect SACEM lobbying

    5.4.2 Advocacy Timeline

    2026-01-012026-04-012026-07-012026-10-012027-01-012027-04-012027-07-012027-10-012028-01-012028-04-01Submit industry position paper Joint tech roadmap with SACEM Propose technical standards (ISO) Testify at EU Parliament hearing Pilot blockchain integration Negotiate amendment language ISO working group approval Lobby for enhanced detection mandate AI Act amended (target) Implement in EU member states EU AI ActCopyright DirectiveSACEM CollaborationRegulatory Engagement Roadmap (2026–2028)

    5.4.3 Coalition Building

    Proposed "AI Music Transparency Alliance":

    Governance:

    AI Music Transparency Alliance

    Steering Committee
    (Vivendi, Sony, Warner, SACEM)

    Technical Working Group
    (watermarking, blockchain standards)

    Policy Working Group
    (EU advocacy, member state lobbying)

    Legal Working Group
    (litigation strategy)

    Quarterly Review Meetings

    Deliverable: ISO/IEC Standards Proposal

    Deliverable: Policy Briefs for EC, Parliament

    Deliverable: Test Cases vs. AI Platforms


    5.5 Success Metrics and KPIs

    5.5.1 Near-Term (2025–2026)

    MetricBaselineTarget (2026)Measurement Method
    UMG detection rate (all platforms)85%90%SACEM royalty reports + Content ID stats
    TikTok-specific detection60%75%Sample audit (1000 random UMG-tagged videos)
    Watermark survival rate (pilot tracks)N/A70% (pitch-shifted)Lab testing + field monitoring
    Blockchain registry throughputN/A1000 reg/hourTechnical benchmark

    5.5.2 Medium-Term (2027–2028)

    MetricBaselineTarget (2028)Measurement Method
    Revenue recovery (due to improved detection)N/A+€50M/yearSACEM payout analysis
    AI platform licensing0 agreements3+ agreementsSigned contracts (training royalties)
    Regulatory wins0AI Act amendment passedOfficial EU legislation
    Cross-subsidiary adoptionUMG onlyUMG + Canal+ + Vivendi GamingInternal rollout tracker

    5.5.3 Long-Term (2029–2030)

    MetricTargetImpact
    Industry standard adoptionISO/IEC standard ratifiedVivendi technology becomes global norm
    SACEM detection rate95% (despite AI growth)Revenue leakage reduced to <5%
    Vivendi IP leadershipTop 3 in industry innovation rankingEnhanced brand value, artist relations

    5.6 Risk Mitigation and Contingency Plans

    5.6.1 Technical Risks

    RiskProbabilityImpactMitigationContingency
    Watermarks defeated by adversarial AIMediumHighAdaptive embedding (annual key rotation)Pivot to phase-domain detection
    Blockchain scalability failsLowMediumUse Layer 2 (Polygon)Fallback to centralized registry
    Platforms refuse integrationHighVery HighEU regulatory pressure (Art. 17)Litigation (breach of best efforts)

    5.6.2 Economic Risks

    RiskProbabilityImpactMitigationContingency
    Pilot costs exceed €5MMediumMediumPhase funding (abort if P1 fails)Seek co-funding (Sony, Warner)
    No measurable ROI by 2028LowHighSet conservative targets (20% improvement)Reframe as "defensive investment"
    AI music market collapsesLowLowDetection infrastructure useful for all transformationsN/A

    5.6.3 Regulatory Risks

    RiskProbabilityImpactMitigationContingency
    AI Act amendment blockedMediumHighMulti-pronged advocacy (EU + member states)Pursue national regulations (France, Germany)
    Smart contracts not legally recognizedMediumMediumHybrid model (SACEM retains authority)Manual settlement with on-chain audit
    GDPR violations (blockchain data)LowHighStore only hashes (no PII)Legal review before deployment

    5.7 Organizational Readiness

    5.7.1 Required Capabilities (Vivendi Internal)

    CapabilityCurrent State (Hypothetical)GapAction
    Blockchain expertiseLow (scattered across subsidiaries)MediumHire 2 blockchain engineers (Q1 2026)
    Signal processing R&DMedium (UMG has audio engineers)LowPartner with academic lab (e.g., IRCAM, Fraunhofer)
    Policy/regulatory affairsHigh (existing EU lobbying team)NoneAllocate 1 FTE to AI music policy
    Cross-subsidiary coordinationLow (siloed operations)HighEstablish "Vivendi IP Defense Council" (monthly meetings)

    5.7.2 External Partnerships

    PartnerRoleEngagement Model
    SACEMCo-develop blockchain registry; advocate for mandateJoint steering committee
    YouTube / TikTokIntegrate watermark detectionTechnical partnership + MOU
    Sony Music / WarnerCo-fund pilots; share infrastructureConsortium (equal cost-share)
    IRCAM / FraunhoferPhase-domain detection R&DResearch contract (€300k/year)
    EU DG CNECTAI Act amendmentOngoing dialogue (policy briefs, hearings)

    5.8 Meeting Agenda (Proposed)

    Duration: 60 minutes Participants: Vivendi CTO, UMG CTO, SACEM rep (if available), Adservio (Olivier Vitrac)

    Agenda

    TimeTopicObjective
    0:00–0:10Introduction & ContextPresent problem hypothesis (Memos 1–2)
    0:10–0:25Technical Deep-DiveWalk through detection failure modes (Memo 3)
    0:25–0:40Solution OverviewPresent watermarking + blockchain + AI audits (Memo 4)
    0:40–0:50Pilot ProposalsDiscuss Pilots A/B/C; gauge investment appetite
    0:50–0:55Regulatory StrategyAlign on EU AI Act advocacy approach
    0:55–1:00Next StepsAgree on decision timeline and follow-up actions

    Pre-Read Materials

    Post-Meeting Deliverables

    1. Meeting notes with decisions and action items

    2. Go/No-Go decision on each pilot (deadline: 2 weeks post-meeting)

    3. Draft consortium agreement (if blockchain pilot approved)


    5.9 Alternative Scenarios

    5.9.1 Scenario A: "Full Commitment"

    CTO Response: "This is strategic priority. Fund all pilots, lead consortium, advocate at EU."

    Vivendi Actions:

    Expected Outcome: Vivendi becomes industry leader; watermarking becomes standard by 2028


    5.9.2 Scenario B: "Cautious Pilot"

    CTO Response: "Interesting, but prove ROI first. Fund Pilot A (watermarking) only."

    Vivendi Actions:

    Expected Outcome: Incremental improvement; Vivendi follows Sony/Warner's lead


    5.9.3 Scenario C: "Regulatory Focus"

    CTO Response: "Technical solutions too uncertain. Focus on policy advocacy."

    Vivendi Actions:

    Expected Outcome: Slow progress; dependent on EU timeline (2028+)


    5.9.4 Scenario D: "Status Quo"

    CTO Response: "Current systems are adequate. Monitor but don't invest."

    Vivendi Actions:

    Expected Outcome: Revenue leakage continues; competitive disadvantage vs. proactive majors


    5.10 Decision Framework for CTO

    Yes

    No

    Lead

    Follow

    Yes

    No

    Is revenue leakage
    measurable and
    significant?

    Does Vivendi want
    to lead industry,
    or follow?

    Is €5M investment
    acceptable over
    2 years?

    Scenario D: Monitor Only

    Scenario B: Cautious Pilot
    (Watermarking only)

    Scenario A: Full Commitment
    (All pilots + EU advocacy)

    Scenario C: Regulatory Focus
    (Policy only, no tech)


    5.11 Summary: Vivendi at a Strategic Crossroads

    The Choice

    Vivendi can either:

    1. Pioneer next-generation IP protection (watermarking, blockchain, AI audits) → industry leadership

    2. Participate cautiously (small pilots, follow majors) → risk mitigation

    3. Advocate for regulation without tech investment → slow, uncertain

    4. Maintain status quo → accept revenue leakage as cost of doing business

    "Scenario A: Full Commitment" is optimal because:

    Investment: €5M over 2 years is <0.5% of UMG's annual revenue (~€10B) → acceptable risk


    5.12 Next Steps (Post-Meeting)

    ActionOwnerDeadline
    Circulate meeting notes + decision summaryAdservioMeeting + 3 days
    Go/No-Go on Pilot A (watermarking)Vivendi CTOMeeting + 2 weeks
    Go/No-Go on Pilot B (blockchain)Vivendi CTOMeeting + 2 weeks
    Go/No-Go on Pilot C (AI audits)Vivendi CTOMeeting + 2 weeks
    Draft consortium agreement (if B approved)Vivendi Legal + SACEMMeeting + 1 month
    Assign project leads for approved pilotsVivendi COOMeeting + 1 month
    Schedule follow-up (Q2 2026 review)AllMeeting + 6 months

    5.13 Final Recommendation

    For Vivendi CTO: This is not a "technology problem" or a "legal problem" in isolation. It is a strategic business challenge at the intersection of:

    The companies that solve this will define the next era of media IP protection. Vivendi has the scale, catalog, and political leverage to lead. The question is whether it chooses to act now, or wait for others to set the rules.


    End of Memo 5 End of Memo Series (1–5)

    Prepared by Adservio Innovation Lab — Hypothetical Framework Contact: olivier.vitrac@adservio.fr


    Appendix: One-Page Executive Summary (For CTO)

    Problem

    AI transformations (pitch shift, remixing, generative synthesis) evade acoustic fingerprints → SACEM cannot detect → UMG loses composition royalties (hypothetical €50–200M/year by 2028).

    Root Cause

    Current detection relies on:

    1. Acoustic fingerprints (fragile to AI transformation)

    2. Metadata (stripped during AI remixing)

    Proposed Solution (Multi-Layered)

    1. Watermarking: Embed cryptographic signatures at creation (survives most AI transformations)

    2. Blockchain: Registry for tamper-proof provenance (fast dispute resolution)

    3. AI Training Audits: Prove models trained on UMG catalog → negotiate training royalties

    4. Regulatory Advocacy: EU AI Act amendment (mandate dataset transparency)

    Pilot Programs (2026)

    PilotInvestmentTimelineSuccess Metric
    A: Watermarking (500 tracks)€700kQ1–Q4 2026+30% detection rate
    B: Blockchain (10k tracks)€650kQ1–Q4 2026<7 days dispute resolution
    C: AI Audits (3 platforms)€450kQ2 2026–Q1 20271+ licensing agreement
    Total€1.8M2026Proof of concept

    Decision Required

    Go/No-Go on pilots? (Deadline: 2 weeks post-meeting)

    Alternative: "Scenario B" (watermarking only, €700k) or "Scenario C" (regulatory advocacy only, €500k)

    Recommendation: "Scenario A" (full commitment, €5M over 2 years) → position Vivendi as industry leader


    One-page summary complete. All 5 memos ready for CTO meeting.